Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 7



042
WTNT21 KNHC 150831
TCMAT1

HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
0900 UTC FRI JAN 15 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 27.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 27.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 27.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.4N 27.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 48.7N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...240NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 56.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 300NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 180SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 62.3N 37.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 240NW.
34 KT...360NE 0SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




501
WTNT21 KNHC 150845
TCMAT1

HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
0900 UTC FRI JAN 15 2016

CORRECTED 48-HR FORECAST POSITION

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 27.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 27.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 27.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.4N 27.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 48.7N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...240NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 56.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 300NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 180SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 56.5N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 240NW.
34 KT...360NE 0SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART