Hurricane Earl
Forecast Advisory 2
719
WTNT25 KNHC 022033
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
* CABO GRACIAS A DIOS WESTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 81.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 81.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 80.8W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.5N 83.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 88.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.0N 94.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 20.0N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 81.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
