Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 5

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555
WTNT25 KNHC 031452
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
* BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM CABO GRACIAS A DIOS WESTWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER.
* NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 84.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 50SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 84.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 84.3W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.8N 86.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.5N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 93.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 84.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

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FORECASTER AVILA