Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 6

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780
WTNT25 KNHC 032031
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
* BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM CABO GRACIAS A DIOS WESTWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER.
* NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 80SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 85.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 87.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.2N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 94.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 97.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 86.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

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FORECASTER AVILA