Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 8

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279
WTNT25 KNHC 040853
TCMAT5

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
0900 UTC THU AUG 04 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA
BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 88.9W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 80SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 88.9W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 88.3W...ON COAST

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.8N 90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.6N 94.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 99.5W...INLAND/REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 88.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN