Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 11



657
WTNT25 KNHC 050245
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
0300 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE SOUTHERN GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN WESTWARD
TO LAGUNA VERDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CIUDAD DEL CARMEN WESTWARD TO LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 91.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 91.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 91.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.4N 93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.7N 95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 98.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH