Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 12



718
WTNT25 KNHC 050836
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
0900 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CIUDAD DEL CARMEN WESTWARD TO LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 92.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 92.8W AT 05/0900Z...INLAND
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 92.3W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 94.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.7N 95.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.9N 97.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 92.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN