Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 14



493
WTNT25 KNHC 052034
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
2100 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAGUNA VERDE TO TECOLUTLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO DOS BOCAS WESTWARD TO TECOLUTLA MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 95.0W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 15SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 95.0W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 94.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.8N 96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.8N 96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 95.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART