Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 15

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902
WTNT25 KNHC 060242
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
0300 UTC SAT AUG 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
EAST OF ROCA PARTIDO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ROCA PARTIDO NORTHWARD TO TECOLUTLA...MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 95.9W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 95.9W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 95.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 95.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART