Tropical Storm Eight

Forecast Advisory 1

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347
WTNT22 KNHC 281434
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 54.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.8N 55.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.2N 55.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.6N 55.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.4N 53.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.3N 49.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 36.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 38.5N 36.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 54.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





086
WTNT23 KNHC 281442
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 70.0W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 70.0W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 69.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.1N 71.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.9N 73.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.6N 74.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.2N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 39.0N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 70.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN