Hurricane Gaston

Forecast Advisory 15



815
WTNT22 KNHC 260850
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0900 UTC FRI AUG 26 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 47.6W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 47.6W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.0N 52.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.2N 54.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.2N 55.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 30.8N 57.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 32.2N 55.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 34.0N 51.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 47.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG