Hurricane Gaston

Forecast Advisory 33



029
WTNT22 KNHC 302032
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
2100 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
GASTON.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 51.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 51.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 52.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.4N 50.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 34.9N 47.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.6N 43.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.9N 39.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 38.8N 31.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 40.0N 26.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 51.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




040
WTNT23 KNHC 302046
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
2100 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 75.1W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 75.1W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 75.2W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 35.0N 74.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.3N 72.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 38.3N 69.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 41.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 45.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 75.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




752
WTNT24 KNHC 302059
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
2100 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM
THE ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE
WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 87.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 87.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 87.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N 87.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.5N 86.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N 84.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.9N 79.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 87.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH