Hurricane Gaston

Forecast Advisory 38



575
WTNT23 KNHC 010241
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 70.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 70.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 71.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 38.2N 66.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 40.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 43.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 70.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




831
WTNT24 KNHC 010249
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER WESTWARD
TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST ELSEWHERE IN THE
CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 87.0W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 90SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 87.0W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 87.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.9N 86.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.7N 85.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.7N 83.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N 76.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 39.0N 74.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 39.0N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 87.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




604
WTNT22 KNHC 010253
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 45.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 130SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 45.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 37.2N 42.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.2N 37.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 35SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 140SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.7N 33.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 39.2N 30.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 42.1N 24.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 45.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG