Hurricane Gaston
Forecast Advisory 41
275
WTNT22 KNHC 012032
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL AZORES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 37.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 25 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 70SE 40SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 80SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 160SE 140SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 260SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 37.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 39.1W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.9N 34.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.5N 30.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 40.3N 27.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 41.6N 25.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 37.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
684
WTNT24 KNHC 012043
TCMAT4
HURRICANE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE
UNITED STATES ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK...NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY
HOOK...NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT
SOUTHWARD...
AND THE SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY HOOK
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD
* SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 85.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 85.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 85.4W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.2N 83.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.4N 81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 78.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.3N 75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 38.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 85.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
