Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 3



477
WTNT24 KNHC 290847
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 83.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 83.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.7N 85.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.1N 86.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.7N 87.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.4N 87.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.8N 85.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 33.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 83.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




472
WTNT23 KNHC 290853
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 73.0W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 73.0W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 72.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 33.2N 74.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.4N 75.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 35.4N 74.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 38.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




093
WTNT22 KNHC 290855
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 55.2W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 150SE 150SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 55.2W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 55.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 31.1N 55.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 31.8N 54.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.5N 50.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 38.5N 30.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 55.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN