Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 7



596
WTNT22 KNHC 300845
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 54.0W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 54.0W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 54.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.4N 52.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.4N 50.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 35.0N 47.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.8N 43.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.5N 34.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 120SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 39.5N 28.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.5N 23.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 54.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




516
WTNT24 KNHC 300849
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 86.6W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 86.6W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 86.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.2N 87.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N 87.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.2N 86.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N 85.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N 81.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 33.2N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 35.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 86.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




162
WTNT23 KNHC 300853
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 75.0W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 75.0W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 74.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.4N 75.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 35.3N 74.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.5N 72.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 38.4N 69.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 43.0N 58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 75.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN