Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 10



079
WTNT23 KNHC 310239
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 74.7W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.4N 73.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 37.1N 71.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 39.3N 66.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 41.5N 59.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 45.1N 45.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 70SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 74.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




200
WTNT22 KNHC 310252
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GASTON.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 50.9W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 50.9W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 51.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.7N 49.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.4N 46.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.9N 41.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.9N 36.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 38.7N 29.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 100SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.5N 23.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 50.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




382
WTNT24 KNHC 310254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 87.8W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 87.8W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 87.7W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.1N 87.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N 87.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.8N 85.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.6N 83.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.4N 77.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 37.1N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 39.0N 68.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART