Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 11

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873
WTNT22 KNHC 310850
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0900 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GASTON.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 50.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 50.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 50.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 34.5N 48.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.3N 44.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.5N 35.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 39.5N 28.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 130SE 100SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 41.5N 22.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 50.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





628
WTNT24 KNHC 310851
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 88.1W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 88.1W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 88.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 25.4N 87.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.9N 86.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.4N 85.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.3N 83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.2N 76.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 37.0N 70.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 39.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 88.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





259
WTNT23 KNHC 310852
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
0900 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 74.3W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 74.3W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 74.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 35.7N 72.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 37.7N 69.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 40.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 42.5N 57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 74.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA