Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 12



474
WTNT23 KNHC 311438
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 73.1W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 73.1W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 73.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 36.6N 71.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 38.8N 66.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 41.0N 60.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 43.0N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




622
WTNT22 KNHC 311440
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GASTON. A
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 48.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 160SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 48.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 49.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.2N 46.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.9N 41.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 40SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N 36.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.8N 32.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 40.0N 24.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N 18.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




899
WTNT24 KNHC 311441
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE UNITED STATES
ATLANTIC COAST FROM MARINELAND FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM GEORGIA THROUGH
THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 88.0W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 88.0W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 88.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.9N 87.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.3N 86.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.9N 82.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.0N 75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 40.0N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 88.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH