Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 13



553
WTNT23 KNHC 312035
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 71.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 71.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 72.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 37.7N 69.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 39.9N 64.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 42.0N 57.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 44.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




208
WTNT22 KNHC 312041
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES AND FOR FAIAL...PICO...
GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 46.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 46.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 47.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.3N 44.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.7N 39.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.5N 34.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.0N 30.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 110SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 41.0N 25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 46.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




332
WTNT24 KNHC 312047
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO DESTIN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM GEORGIA THROUGH
THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 87.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 87.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 87.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 87.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.1N 86.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.0N 82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N 77.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N 74.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 39.5N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 87.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH