Hurricane Hermine
Forecast Advisory 16
749
WTNT22 KNHC 011446
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1500 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...
AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL AZORES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 40.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 130SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 40.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 42.0W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.4N 37.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 39.1N 32.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 39.7N 29.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 41.0N 26.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 40.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
797
WTNT22 KNHC 011455
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1500 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL INTENSITY AND WIND RADII AND 12-HR WIND RADII
FORECAST.
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO
JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL AZORES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL AZORES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 40.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 160SE 140SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 40.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 42.0W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.4N 37.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 50SE 30SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 39.1N 32.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 39.7N 29.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 41.0N 26.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 40.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
834
WTNT24 KNHC 011456
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1500 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FOR THE
ATLANTIC COAST TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SURF CITY TO OREGON INLET NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. THE HURRICANE WATCH AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE WALTON/BAY
COUNTY LINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE
* MARINELAND TO SURF CITY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 86.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 86.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 86.2W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N 84.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.1N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.2N 76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 38.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 86.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
