Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 20



063
WTNT24 KNHC 020841
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST
OF INDIAN PASS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY HOOK
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD
* SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 83.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 100SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 180SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 83.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 84.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.5N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 77.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N 74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 38.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.5N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 39.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 83.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




103
WTNT22 KNHC 020842
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 34.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 110SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 34.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 35.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 38.9N 31.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 39.7N 29.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 41.3N 26.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 34.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART