Hurricane Hermine
Forecast Advisory 21
898
WTNT24 KNHC 021448
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM DUCK
NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SANDY
HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG
ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST
OF FLORIDA AND FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST SOUTH OF NASSAU SOUND
FLORIDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NASSAU SOUND TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD
* TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FENWICK ISLAND TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
* SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 82.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 210SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 82.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 82.8W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N 79.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.4N 76.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.7N 73.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 140SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.5N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 38.1N 72.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.8N 71.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.3N 71.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 82.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
022
WTNT22 KNHC 021451
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL
AZORES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 32.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 110SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 32.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 33.0W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 39.5N 29.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 40.7N 27.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 42.5N 24.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 32.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
