Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 31



382
WTNT24 KNHC 050254
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH AND WEST OF
FIRE ISLAND INLET...WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON...AND WEST OF NEW
HAVEN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 68.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 280SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 68.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 68.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.9N 68.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 160SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 38.7N 69.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 110NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.2N 70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.8N 69.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 40.6N 67.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 42.5N 63.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 68.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN