Hurricane Hermine

Forecast Advisory 33

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702
WTNT24 KNHC 051436
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 68.8W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 68.8W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 68.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.2N 69.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.7N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 40.0N 70.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.5N 62.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH