Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 3

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007
WTNT25 KNHC 130241
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 51.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 51.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 51.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.9N 52.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.9N 53.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.4N 54.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.8N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.0N 49.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 48.0N 38.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 56.5N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 51.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART