Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 7



588
WTNT21 KNHC 140223
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0300 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PONTE VEDRA BEACH...
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PONTE VEDRA BEACH TO ALTAHAMA SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. IN THIS CASE...TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 81.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.2N 81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.8N 82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.1N 82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 81.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN




178
WTNT21 KNHC 140236 CCA
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0300 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

CORRECTED SPELLING OF ALTAMAHA SOUND IN SUMMARY SECTION

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PONTE VEDRA BEACH...
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PONTE VEDRA BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. IN THIS CASE...TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 81.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.2N 81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.8N 82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.1N 82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 81.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN




940
WTNT25 KNHC 140247
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0300 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 52.8W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 52.8W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 52.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.8N 53.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.3N 53.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.2N 51.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 39.4N 47.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 49.7N 33.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 52.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN