Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 8

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366
WTNT25 KNHC 140834
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.0W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.0W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 52.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.3N 53.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.0N 52.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.2N 49.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 41.6N 43.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 53.4N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 300SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 53.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





854
WTNT21 KNHC 140845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FERNANDINA BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 81.8W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 81.8W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 81.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.6N 81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.9N 81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.1N 81.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.2N 81.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 81.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN