Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 10



444
WTNT25 KNHC 142032
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 53.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 53.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 53.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.8N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 42.7N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 49.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 53.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




913
WTNT22 KNHC 142035
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 26.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 26.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 25.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 28.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 30.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 33.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.1N 35.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 26.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




188
WTNT21 KNHC 142043
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 80.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 80.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 80.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.3N 80.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.4N 79.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.3N 79.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 32.2N 79.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 32.2N 80.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 32.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 80.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH