Tropical Storm Ian

Forecast Advisory 17



932
WTNT21 KNHC 161439
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 75.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 75.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 75.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.9N 75.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.8N 75.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.9N 75.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.2N 76.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 32.5N 76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 33.0N 74.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 75.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




523
WTNT22 KNHC 161450
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 34.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 30SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 34.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 33.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N 36.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.4N 38.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.9N 41.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.7N 44.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.3N 49.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 22.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 34.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




371
WTNT25 KNHC 161452
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.8N 36.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 46 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 210SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 480SE 540SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.8N 36.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 38.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 54.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 300SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 59.5N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 64.5N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 240SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.8N 36.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE