Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 3



687
WTNT22 KNHC 141441
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1500 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 25.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 25.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 24.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 26.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.9N 29.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.9N 31.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.8N 34.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 25.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




288
WTNT21 KNHC 141445
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
1500 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 81.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 81.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 81.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.2N 80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.3N 80.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 81.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




052
WTNT25 KNHC 141449
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
1500 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 53.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 53.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 53.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.7N 52.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.7N 51.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.2N 46.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 45.4N 39.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 53.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG