Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 7



392
WTNT22 KNHC 151435
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.8N 32.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.9N 34.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.7N 37.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.4N 40.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N 45.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.7N 50.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 30.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




273
WTNT25 KNHC 151441
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 50.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 50.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 51.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.3N 46.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 45.6N 39.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 180SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 51.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 180SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 50.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




167
WTNT21 KNHC 151447
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 78.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 78.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 78.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.8N 78.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 31.7N 77.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.6N 77.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.4N 77.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.5N 77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 32.0N 77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 78.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN