Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 8



620
WTNT22 KNHC 152037
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 31.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 31.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.9N 33.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 36.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N 38.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N 41.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 31.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




526
WTNT25 KNHC 152039
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 47.7W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 240SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 47.7W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 49.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 43.2N 42.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 49.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 55.5N 26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 240SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 61.0N 18.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N 47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




201
WTNT21 KNHC 152048
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 77.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 77.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 77.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.0N 76.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.8N 76.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.5N 76.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.5N 76.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.0N 77.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 32.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 77.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN