Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 16

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436
WTNT21 KNHC 172033
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
2100 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 76.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 76.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 76.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.9N 76.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.5N 77.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.2N 77.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.7N 77.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 33.0N 78.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 76.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





437
WTNT22 KNHC 172033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
2100 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 40.4W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 45SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 40.4W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 39.8W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N 42.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.8N 45.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.1N 47.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 50.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 55.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 40.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE