Tropical Storm Julia

Forecast Advisory 21

---

969
WTNT22 KNHC 190237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 46.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 46.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 45.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.5N 48.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.1N 50.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.8N 53.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.7N 55.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.1N 60.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 26.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 28.8N 66.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 46.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





262
WTNT21 KNHC 190239
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 78.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 78.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 78.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N 78.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.4N 77.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.9N 77.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.1N 77.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 78.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN