Tropical Storm Karl
Forecast Advisory 12
087
WTNT21 KNHC 170831
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 76.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 76.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 76.4W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.3N 76.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.6N 77.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.1N 77.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 31.6N 77.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 76.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
659
WTNT22 KNHC 170832
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 38.2W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 38.2W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 37.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.1N 40.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...170NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N 42.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.6N 45.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.8N 47.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 0SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.4N 53.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 70SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 38.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
