Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 18

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941
WTNT21 KNHC 182031
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
2100 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JULIA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 78.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 78.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 77.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N 77.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.6N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.9N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.2N 78.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 78.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





426
WTNT22 KNHC 182055
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
2100 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 45.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 45.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 44.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 47.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 49.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.7N 52.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 54.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.9N 59.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.4N 64.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 45.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART