Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 20

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912
WTNT22 KNHC 190837
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 47.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 47.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.6N 49.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.1N 52.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N 54.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.0N 57.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N 62.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 27.0N 65.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.5N 65.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN