Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 24

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011
WTNT23 KNHC 200841
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0900 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 29.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 29.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 29.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.4N 30.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.6N 32.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 34.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.4N 35.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.8N 38.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.4N 40.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 26.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 29.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





365
WTNT22 KNHC 200854
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 52.8W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 52.8W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 52.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.9N 54.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 57.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.0N 59.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.7N 61.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.4N 64.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N 64.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 34.0N 57.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 52.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN