Tropical Storm Karl

Forecast Advisory 25

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812
WTNT22 KNHC 201435
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 54.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 54.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 53.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.7N 56.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 58.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 30SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.1N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.6N 65.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 36.5N 54.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 54.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/KREKELER





701
WTNT23 KNHC 201449
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 30.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 30.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 30.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 31.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 33.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.2N 35.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.1N 36.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.7N 39.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.5N 41.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.3N 43.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 30.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART