Tropical Storm Karl
Forecast Advisory 31
674
WTNT23 KNHC 220237
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0300 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 32.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 32.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 32.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.2N 33.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.6N 35.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.3N 37.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.7N 40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 36.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 32.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
130
WTNT22 KNHC 220237
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KARL.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 59.6W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 59.6W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 58.9W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.2N 61.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N 63.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.6N 64.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.7N 64.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 40.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 47.5N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 59.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
