Tropical Storm Lisa

Forecast Advisory 1

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400
WTNT22 KNHC 192041
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 49.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 49.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 48.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.8N 51.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 53.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.6N 56.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.9N 58.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.9N 62.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 49.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PETERSEN/CHENARD





323
WTNT23 KNHC 192052
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
2100 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 28.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 28.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 28.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.3N 29.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.6N 31.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.7N 33.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.6N 35.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 38.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.5N 44.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 28.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART