Tropical Storm Lisa

Forecast Advisory 2

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414
WTNT22 KNHC 200239
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.5W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 30SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.5W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 49.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.4N 52.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 54.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.4N 57.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.9N 59.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.7N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.3N 60.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 50.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





255
WTNT23 KNHC 200243
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 29.0W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 29.0W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 28.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.0N 30.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.1N 32.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.2N 34.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.1N 35.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 38.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 25.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 29.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI