Tropical Storm Lisa

Forecast Advisory 6



305
WTNT22 KNHC 210237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 56.7W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 56.7W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 56.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 58.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N 60.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 50SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N 62.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.9N 59.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 39.2N 48.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 56.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




311
WTNT23 KNHC 210240
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 31.7W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 31.7W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 31.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.8N 32.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 34.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N 35.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.6N 36.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.6N 39.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 42.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 31.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN