Tropical Storm Lisa

Forecast Advisory 7



068
WTNT23 KNHC 210832
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0900 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 32.2W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 32.2W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 31.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.2N 33.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.1N 34.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.1N 35.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.3N 37.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.1N 40.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 32.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




605
WTNT22 KNHC 210832
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC WED SEP 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 57.6W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 57.6W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 57.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N 59.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 35.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 43.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 57.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA