Tropical Storm Lisa
Forecast Advisory 11
078
WTNT23 KNHC 220839
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
0900 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 34.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 34.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 33.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.9N 34.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.3N 36.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.6N 37.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.0N 38.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.5N 40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 35.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 34.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
178
WTNT22 KNHC 220841
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
0900 UTC THU SEP 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KARL.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 60.7W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 60.7W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 60.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N 62.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.0N 63.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.3N 64.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 36.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 47.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 60.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA