Hurricane Matthew

Forecast Advisory 2

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132
WTNT24 KNHC 282042
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BONAIRE. THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR CURACAO AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ARUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR ARUBA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA...BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 62.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 100SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 62.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 61.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.1N 64.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 14.4N 67.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.4N 69.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.1N 71.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.2N 73.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 15.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 62.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN