Hurricane Matthew

Forecast Advisory 3

---

619
WTNT24 KNHC 290250
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBADOS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 63.1W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 120SE 30SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 63.1W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 62.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.4N 67.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.3N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.1N 71.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA