Hurricane Matthew
Forecast Advisory 31
441
WTNT25 KNHC 052030
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 63.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 63.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 63.2W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.3N 64.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.4N 65.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.9N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.7N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 63.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
927
WTNT24 KNHC 052038
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM FERNANDINA
BEACH TO SAVANNAH RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST
FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO SUWANNEE RIVER.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR CUBA.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SAVANNAH RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO SUWANNEE RIVER
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 75.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 75.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 75.4W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N 76.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.6N 78.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N 79.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 80.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.6N 76.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 75.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
