Hurricane Matthew
Forecast Advisory 33
104
WTNT25 KNHC 060840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 64.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 64.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 64.5W
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.3N 65.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.8N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.8N 65.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.2N 64.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 26.7N 65.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 64.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
018
WTNT24 KNHC 060857
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0900 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA AND THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO SUWANNEE RIVER
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 77.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 77.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 76.7W
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N 78.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N 79.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 80.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.7N 80.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.4N 77.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 31.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 77.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
